tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post5768173628281111595..comments2024-08-08T05:25:48.470+01:00Comments on RÉSONAANCES: Weekend Plot: all of dark matterJesterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08947218566941608850noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-64566771779477636972014-03-18T02:13:46.327+01:002014-03-18T02:13:46.327+01:00"they find a best-fit value of the scalar-ten..."they find a best-fit value of the scalar-tensor ratio of r = 0.20 +0.07/-0.05"<br /><br />Yes, I can read rumors.andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08172964121659914379noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-7584848614735411652014-03-10T22:59:07.579+01:002014-03-10T22:59:07.579+01:00Yeah, basically a posterior probability. I was ty...Yeah, basically a posterior probability. I was typing off-the-cuff. If I want to estimate the probability that a signal is due to dark matter depends, I need to ask how likely it is that dark matter exists at all.<br /><br />If I wanted to ask the probability that some gamma rays from whatever region of space are due to cupcake-powered gamma ray generators, I'd have to estimate (among other things) the probability that cupcake-powered machines exist in that region of space. If that's a low-probability hypothesis, the fact that the signal would be perfectly consistent with such a machine is largely irrelevant. OTOH, if I wanted to ask about the probability that a messy living room is the result of a cupcake-powered toddler running around, we know that cupcakes and toddlers exist on earth, and we know that kids can get hyper from too much sugar, so now I have to ask whether there's evidence that a toddler was in the vicinity of that living room recently.Alexnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-87239050880839435032014-03-10T22:36:19.047+01:002014-03-10T22:36:19.047+01:00What do you mean by "Bayesian likelihood"...What do you mean by "Bayesian likelihood"? Do you mean your own estimated (posterior) probability?Benhttp://everythingisbayesian.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-26416154514630342612014-03-10T06:14:48.080+01:002014-03-10T06:14:48.080+01:00Given the LUX exclusions and the Bohemont's un...Given the LUX exclusions and the Bohemont's uncanny three significant digit coincidence with the rest mass of an electron, as well as astronomy data's distaste for cold dark matter relative to warm dark matter, I'm gong to have to say that the "Bulbulon", despite being a newcomer, it the most plausible of the lot.<br /><br />FWIW, I first suspected that all of the names were from Sesame Street, particularly given the Hooperon. Impressive that they are not.andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08172964121659914379noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-89065714577274770652014-03-10T05:33:15.748+01:002014-03-10T05:33:15.748+01:00Since dark matter is the hot topic for this blog a...Since dark matter is the hot topic for this blog at the moment, any comment on these?<br />http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.1365<br />http://arxiv.org/abs/1402.6950<br /><br />I know that MOND papers aren't really particle physics, per se, but anything that decreases the likelihood of MOND increases the Bayesian likelihood that some dark matter search will eventually find something.Alexnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-70096933366266136352014-03-10T02:14:04.065+01:002014-03-10T02:14:04.065+01:00The one who has most self-citations of the discove...The one who has most self-citations of the discovery paper. Jesterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08947218566941608850noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-19521674675176988012014-03-09T13:34:25.906+01:002014-03-09T13:34:25.906+01:00If a paper has multiple authors, by what rule did ...If a paper has multiple authors, by what rule did you pick the author who gets the honour of naming the particle?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-43281689655339656542014-03-09T01:23:54.764+01:002014-03-09T01:23:54.764+01:00Anon, let's say the evidence must exist in mor...Anon, let's say the evidence must exist in more than one mind for the particle to make it into my plot :) Otherwise the plot would be too crowded. Jesterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08947218566941608850noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-44469092659740636762014-03-08T22:39:42.503+01:002014-03-08T22:39:42.503+01:00LOL, yeah. Perhaps if we remove all the 'indir...LOL, yeah. Perhaps if we remove all the 'indirect' results wrt WIMP type interpretations? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00969108680971034234noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-78783236899969418952014-03-08T22:29:46.959+01:002014-03-08T22:29:46.959+01:00How about this?
http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1309....How about this? <br /><br />http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1309.3790Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-45910302988029490662014-03-08T16:20:46.301+01:002014-03-08T16:20:46.301+01:00LOL, good names, and quite a "consensus"...LOL, good names, and quite a "consensus".Luboš Motlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17487263983247488359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-55483576176005080252014-03-08T12:06:09.267+01:002014-03-08T12:06:09.267+01:00Thanks, CDMeson added. Ronval, red is uncertain, g...Thanks, CDMeson added. Ronval, red is uncertain, green is dubious. Jesterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08947218566941608850noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-65287208662825052932014-03-08T04:56:02.521+01:002014-03-08T04:56:02.521+01:00You could perhaps also add the CDMS-Si candidate, ...You could perhaps also add the CDMS-Si candidate, reported here: http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.4279<br /><br />Not sure what the proper nomenclature would be. CDMeson?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01467339854328296861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-7792762007682354452014-03-08T03:53:12.165+01:002014-03-08T03:53:12.165+01:00Waiting for the Godot particle?Waiting for the Godot particle?Robert L. Oldershawhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15396555790655312393noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2846514233477399562.post-59717954917076227302014-03-08T03:25:52.324+01:002014-03-08T03:25:52.324+01:00on the colors: red more or less likely than green?...on the colors: red more or less likely than green?ronval912https://www.blogger.com/profile/12969956986618910716noreply@blogger.com