21cm to dark matter

The EDGES discovery of the 21cm absorption line at the cosmic dawn has been widely discussed on blogs and in popular press. Quite deservedly so.  The observation opens a new window on the epoch when the universe as we know it was just beginning. We expect a treasure trove of information about the standard processes happening in the early universe, as well as novel constraints on hypothetical particles that might have been present then. It is not a very long shot to speculate that, if confirmed, the EDGES discovery will be awarded a Nobel prize. On the other hand, the bold claim bundled with their experimental result -  that the unexpectedly large strength of the signal is an indication of interaction between the ordinary matter and cold dark matter - is very controversial. 


But before jumping to dark matter it is worth reviewing the standard physics leading to the EDGES signal. In the lowest energy (singlet) state, hydrogen may absorb a photon and jump to a slightly excited (triplet) state which differs from the true ground state just by the arrangement of the proton and electron spins. Such transitions are induced by photons of wavelength of 21cm, or frequency of 1.4 GHz, or energy of 5.9 𝜇eV, and they may routinely occur at the cosmic dawn when Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) photons of the right energy hit neutral hydrogen atoms hovering in the universe. The evolution of the CMB and hydrogen temperatures is shown in the picture here as a function of the cosmological redshift z (large z is early time, z=0 is today). The CMB temperature is red and it decreases with time as (1+z) due to the expansion of the universe. The hydrogen temperature in blue is a bit more tricky. At the recombination time around z=1100 most proton and electrons combine to form neutral atoms, however a small fraction of free electrons and protons survives. Interactions between the electrons and CMB photons via Compton scattering are strong enough to keep the two (and consequently the hydrogen as well) at equal temperatures for some time.  However, around z=200 the CMB and hydrogen temperatures decouple, and the latter subsequently decreases much faster with time, as (1+z)^2. At the cosmic dawn, z～17, the hydrogen gas is already 7 times colder than the CMB, after which light from the first stars heats it up and ionizes it again.

The quantity directly relevant for the 21cm absorption signal is the so-called spin temperature Ts, which is a measure of the relative occupation number of the singlet and triplet hydrogen states. Just before the cosmic dawn, the spin temperature equals the CMB one, and as  a result there is no net absorption or emission of 21cm photons. However, it is believed that the light from the first stars initially lowers the spin temperature down to the hydrogen one. Therefore, there should be absorption of 21cm CMB photons by the hydrogen in the epoch between z～20 and z～15. After taking into account the cosmological redshift, one should now observe a dip in the radio frequencies between 70 and 90 MHz. This is roughly what EDGES finds. The depth of the dip is described by the formula:

 As the spin temperature cannot be lower than that of the hydrogen, the standard physics predicts TCMB/Ts ≼ 7 corresponding  T21 ≽ -0.2K. The surprise is that EDGES observes a larger dip, T21 ≈ -0.5K, 3.8 astrosigma away from the predicted value, as if TCMB/Ts were of order 15.

If the EDGES result is taken at face value, it means that TCMB/Ts at the cosmic dawn was much larger than predicted in the standard scenario.  Either there was a lot more photon radiation at the relevant wavelengths, or the hydrogen gas was much colder than predicted. Focusing on the latter possibility, one could imagine that the hydrogen was cooled due to interactions with cold dark matter  made of relatively light (less than GeV) particles. However, this idea very difficult to realize in practice, because it requires the interaction cross section to be thousands of barns at the relevant epoch! Not picobarns typical for WIMPs. Many orders of magnitude more than the total proton-proton cross section at the LHC. Even in nuclear processes such values are rarely seen.  And we are talking here about dark matter, whose trademark is interacting weakly.   Obviously, the idea is running into all sorts of constraints that have been laboriously accumulated over the years.     
       
One can try to save this idea by a series of evasive tricks. If the interaction cross section scales as 1/v^4, where v is the relative velocity between colliding matter and dark matter particles, it could be enhanced at the cosmic dawn when the typical velocities were at its minimum. The 1/v^4 behavior is not unfamiliar, as it is characteristic of the electromagnetic forces in the non-relativistic limit. Thus, one could envisage a model where dark matter has a minuscule electric charge, one thousandth or less that of the proton. This trick buys some mileage, but the obstacles remain enormous. The cross section is still large enough for the dark and ordinary matter to couple strongly during the recombination epoch, contrary to what is concluded from precision observations of the CMB. Therefore the milli-charge particles can constitute only  a small fraction of dark matter, less then 1 percent. Finally, one needs to avoid constraints from direct detection, colliders, and emission by stars and supernovae.  A plot borrowed from this paper shows that a tiny region of viable parameter space remains around 100 MeV mass and 10^-5 charge, though my guess is that this will also go away upon a more careful analysis.

So, milli-charge dark matter cooling hydrogen does not stand scrutiny as an explanation for the EDGES anomaly. This does not mean that all exotic explanations must be so implausible. Better models are being and will be proposed, and one of them could even be correct. For example, models where new particles lead to an injection of additional 21cm photons at early times seem to be more encouraging.  My bet? Future observations will confirm the 21cm absorption signal, but the amplitude and other features will turn out to be consistent with the standard 𝞚CDM predictions. Given the number of competing experiments in the starting blocks, the issue should be clarified within the next few years. What is certain is that, this time,  we will learn a lot whether or not the anomalous signal persists :)

Where were we?

Last time this blog was active, particle physics was entering a sharp curve. That the infamous 750 GeV resonance had petered out was not a big deal in itself - one expects these things to happen every now and then.  But the lack of any new physics at the LHC when it had already collected a significant chunk of data was a reason to worry. We know that we don't know everything yet about the fundamental interactions, and that there is a deeper layer of reality that needs to be uncovered (at least to explain dark matter, neutrino masses, baryogenesis, inflation, and physics at energies above the Planck scale). For a hundred years, increasing the energy of particle collisions has been the best way to increase our understanding of the basic constituents of nature. However, with nothing at the LHC and the next higher energy collider decades away, a feeling was growing that the progress might stall.

In this respect, nothing much has changed during the time when the blog was dormant, except that these sentiments are now firmly established. Crisis is no longer a whispered word, but it's openly discussed in corridors, on blogs, on arXiv, and in color magazines.  The clear message from the LHC is that the dominant paradigms about the physics at the weak scale were completely misguided. The Standard Model seems to be a perfect effective theory at least up to a few TeV, and there is no indication at what energy scale new particles have to show up. While everyone goes through the five stages of grief at their own pace, my impression is that most are already well past the denial. The open question is what should be the next steps to make sure that exploration of fundamental interactions will not halt. 

One possible reaction to a crisis is more of the same.  Historically, such an approach has often been efficient, for example it worked for a long time in the case of the Soviet economy. In our case one could easily go on with more models, more epicycles, more parameter space,  more speculations.  But the driving force for all these SusyWarpedCompositeStringBlackHairyHole enterprise has always been the (small but still) possibility of being vindicated by the LHC. Without serious prospects of experimental verification, model building is reduced to intellectual gymnastics that can hardly stir imagination.  Thus the business-as-usual is not an option in the long run: it couldn't elicit any enthusiasm among the physicists or the public,  it wouldn't attract new bright students, and thus it would be a straight path to irrelevance.

So, particle physics has to change. On the experimental side we will inevitably see, just for economical reasons, less focus on high-energy colliders and more on smaller experiments. Theoretical particle physics will also have to evolve to remain relevant.  Certainly, the emphasis needs to be shifted away from empty speculations in favor of more solid research. I don't pretend to know all the answers or have a clear vision of the optimal strategy, but I see three promising directions.

One is astrophysics where there are much better prospects of experimental progress.  The cosmos is a natural collider that is constantly testing fundamental interactions independently of current fashions or funding agencies.  This gives us an opportunity to learn more  about dark matter and neutrinos, and also about various hypothetical particles like axions or milli-charged matter. The most recent story of the 21cm absorption signal shows that there are still treasure troves of data waiting for us out there. Moreover, new observational windows keep opening up, as recently illustrated by the nascent gravitational wave astronomy. This avenue is of course a non-brainer, already explored since a long time by particle theorists, but I expect it will further gain in importance in the coming years. 

Another direction is precision physics. This, also, has been an integral part of particle physics research for quite some time, but it should grow in relevance. The point is that one can probe very heavy particles, often beyond the reach of present colliders,  by precisely measuring low-energy observables. In the most spectacular example, studying proton decay may give insight into new particles with masses of order 10^16 GeV - unlikely to be ever attainable directly. There is a whole array of observables that can probe new physics well beyond the direct LHC reach: a myriad of rare flavor processes, electric dipole moments of the electron and neutron, atomic parity violation, neutrino scattering,  and so on. This road may be long and tedious but it is bound to succeed: at some point some experiment somewhere must observe a phenomenon that does not fit into the Standard Model. If we're very lucky, it  may be that the anomalies currently observed by the LHCb in certain rare B-meson decays are already the first harbingers of a breakdown of the Standard Model at higher energies.

Finally, I should mention formal theoretical developments. The naturalness problem of the cosmological constant and of the Higgs mass may suggest some fundamental misunderstanding of quantum field theory on our part. Perhaps this should not be too surprising.  In many ways we have reached an amazing proficiency in QFT when applied to certain precision observables or even to LHC processes. Yet at the same time QFT is often used and taught in the same way as magic in Hogwarts: mechanically,  blindly following prescriptions from old dusty books, without a deeper understanding of the sense and meaning.  Recent years have seen a brisk development of alternative approaches: a revival of the old S-matrix techniques, new amplitude calculation methods based on recursion relations, but also complete reformulations of the QFT basics demoting the sacred cows like fields, Lagrangians, and gauge symmetry. Theory alone rarely leads to progress, but it may help to make more sense of the data we already have. Could better understanding or complete reformulating of QFT bring new answers to the old questions? I think that is  not impossible. 

All in all, there are good reasons to worry, but also tons of new data in store and lots of fascinating questions to answer.  How will the B-meson anomalies pan out? What shall we do after we hit the neutrino floor? Will the 21cm observations allow us to understand what dark matter is? Will China build a 100 TeV collider? Or maybe a radio telescope on the Moon instead?  Are experimentalists still needed now that we have machine learning? How will physics change with the centre of gravity moving to Asia?  I will tell you my take on such and other questions and  highlight old and new ideas that could help us understand the nature better.  Let's see how far I'll get this time ;)